Cu · CopperCelsius Resources spent 18 years building a world-class copper-gold deposit in Kalinga Province and clearing every regulatory hurdle the Philippines could throw at it — then lost the boardroom to its own local partner six months after booking its maiden ore reserve. A full accounting of what happened and why.
Jul 21, 2026CoCCuLiNi DeskConviction
Mkt · MarketsHard TruthsThe US government keeps backstopping domestic rare-earth projects with loans, equity and price floors, even though the elements themselves are common in the crust and the real bottleneck is separation, permitting and a thin market.
Jun 19, 2026CoCCuLiNi DeskConviction
Au · PreciousField NotesWith gold near record highs around US$4,200/oz, Evolution Mining swung to net cash and kept paying dividends, while peers Northern Star and Newmont return cash through buybacks.
Jun 19, 2026CoCCuLiNi DeskConviction
Fe · FerrousThe Long GameChampion Iron expects first commercial DR-grade pellet feed from its Bloom Lake DRPF project by the end of June 2026, upgrading roughly half of the mine's output toward 69% Fe just as steel decarbonisation lifts demand for low-impurity ore.
Jun 19, 2026CoCCuLiNi DeskConviction
Ni · NickelThe Long GameWith high-cost Australian nickel idled, two sulphide developers — Centaurus Metals' Jaguar in Brazil and Lunnon Metals' Baker at Kambalda — are advancing first-quartile, Class-1-bound projects into a structurally tighter market.
Jun 19, 2026CoCCuLiNi DeskConviction
Li · LithiumThe Long GameLiontown reached its Kathleen Valley underground run-rate target early and booked its first positive net cash flow as spodumene prices rebounded, while Pilbara Minerals posted record output at A$560–600/t costs.
Jun 19, 2026CoCCuLiNi DeskConviction
Cu · CopperHard TruthsCelsius Resources is in arbitration with its 60% local partner Sodor over control of the MMCI vehicle that holds the MCB copper-gold project, echoing the dispute that pushed Ten Sixty Four into administration over its Co-O gold mine.
Jun 19, 2026CoCCuLiNi DeskConviction
Cu · CopperThe Water CoolerCapstone Copper posted its sixth straight record quarterly EBITDA into all-time-high copper prices while its Mantoverde Optimized expansion advances toward a Q4 2026 ramp.
Jun 19, 2026CoCCuLiNi DeskConviction
C · CarbonField NotesStanmore Resources and Whitehaven Coal posted strong met-coal cash flow and kept paying shareholders through a soft 2025–26, even as ESG financing policies keep lenders away from coking coal.
Jun 19, 2026CoCCuLiNi DeskConviction
Co · CobaltThe Water CoolerDRC export quotas have lifted cobalt metal back into the mid-$20s/lb, clearing the restart math for Jervois' Idaho Cobalt Operations — but that ex-China unit is now locked inside a delisted, privately held vehicle.
Jun 19, 2026CoCCuLiNi DeskConviction
Mkt · MarketsThe Water CoolerPeru's projected Fujimori win removes a near-term mining-tax threat, while Colombia's June 21 runoff and a US sanctions order on Cuba reshape the risk map for copper, nickel and cobalt names operating in the region.
Jun 17, 2026CoCCuLiNi DeskConviction
Au · PreciousThe Water CoolerWith gold off its January peak but still above $4,300/oz, the majors are spending record free cash flow on deals — royalty roll-ups, regional consolidation and reserve replacement — rather than the drill bit.
Jun 17, 2026CoCCuLiNi DeskConviction
Au · PreciousThe Long GameBarton Gold completed an oversubscribed A$25.9m institutional placement at A$0.85 per share, led by Canaccord Genuity and MST Financial, to fund a Challenger DFS, Tunkillia studies and Tolmer drilling in South Australia's Gawler Craton.
Jun 17, 2026CoCCuLiNi DeskConviction
Fe · FerrousHard TruthsQueensland's 2022 progressive coal royalty, topping out at a 40% marginal rate, is now reshaping investment and production decisions across the Bowen Basin's coking-coal producers.
Jun 17, 2026CoCCuLiNi DeskConviction
Fe · FerrousHard TruthsThree Bowen Basin coking-coal names — Vitrinite, Bowen Coking Coal and Fitzroy — have all hit the wall or changed hands in under a year, and the common thread is the price of money, not the price of coal.
Jun 17, 2026CoCCuLiNi DeskConviction
Li · LithiumHard TruthsThe most violent chart in the complex just V'd off a nine-year low — battery-grade carbonate roughly doubled through Q1 2026 and sits up around 30% on the year. Before you chase it, get straight on brine vs hard-rock, carbonate vs hydroxide, and who actually has the cost curve to print.
Jun 17, 2026CoCCuLiNi DeskConviction
Cu · CopperThe Water CoolerLME copper sits near $13,700/t after a record $14,527.50 in January, as mine disruptions, AI-and-grid demand and a US tariff scramble collide with stretched speculative positioning.
Jun 17, 2026CoCCuLiNi DeskConviction
C · CarbonField NotesWhite Energy (ASX:WEC) proposes to acquire Nathan Tinkler's private Oceltip Coal 2 for $4m cash and install him as executive chairman, funded by a $15m raise at 6c, in a return to coal development.
Jun 17, 2026CoCCuLiNi DeskConviction
Cu · CopperThe Long GameThe copper bull case is the most consensus idea in metals and still the most underbuilt. The problem was never demand. It's that you can't permit and dig your way out of a structural deficit in under a decade.
Jun 15, 2026CoCCuLiNi DeskConviction
Ni · NickelHard TruthsA wall of Indonesian laterite and HPAL capacity, much of it China-backed, has flattened the cost curve and left a graveyard of Western nickel producers. Pretending class 1 and class 2 are the same metal is how you misread the whole thing.
Jun 14, 2026CoCCuLiNi DeskConviction
Fe · FerrousThe least glamorous tonne in mining bankrolls the most glamorous bets. Before you get excited about a copper growth pipeline, ask where the cash to build it comes from. The answer is usually red dirt from the Pilbara.
Jun 13, 2026CoCCuLiNi DeskConviction
Au · PreciousA yieldless rock is near record highs while real assets are supposedly out of fashion. Gold isn't telling you about gold. It's telling you what the smart, nervous money thinks about everything else.
Jun 11, 2026CoCCuLiNi DeskConviction
Co · CobaltLFP took share, every cathode maker promised to engineer cobalt out, and yet the DRC still anchors the metal — and in 2025 the Congolese government proved it, banning then rationing exports and roughly doubling the price. Read the chemistry that ships, not the chemistry in the press release.
Jun 10, 2026CoCCuLiNi DeskConviction
Mkt · MarketsField NotesA field dispatch from the mining-conference circuit, where the canapés are warm, the resource estimates are warmer, and everyone has discovered the next Greenbushes in a tent in the Yukon. A (mostly) loving send-up.
Jun 9, 2026CoCCuLiNi DeskConviction
C · CarbonThe anode gets none of the glamour and most of the leverage. China dominates natural flake, synthetic graphite and — crucially — the processing in between. Building a Western anode supply chain is harder than building a mine.
Jun 8, 2026CoCCuLiNi DeskConviction
Mkt · MarketsThe ferrous complex sets the macro mood for mining; precious metals set the fear gauge. Both move capital toward and away from the battery basket. A quick map of the markets behind the markets.
Jun 6, 2026CoCCuLiNi DeskConviction
Cu · CopperA field guide to the language juniors use when they want your money. Bonanza intercepts, 'district-scale potential,' and the difference between a discovery and a stock promotion. Companies, not just commodities, get covered here.
Jun 4, 2026CoCCuLiNi DeskConviction